Fitch cuts Asia’s 2012 growth outlook

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PROSPECTIVE DEAL: Australia’s Gloucester Coal has reportedly agreed to a merger with China’s Yanzhou in a deal valued at some A$2.3 billion. China is Australia’s largest two-way trade partner and the proposal comes as rapidly industrialising Asia is seeking to shore up a steady and reliably-priced supply of coal, a material vital for steelmaking. — AFP photo

SINGAPORE: Global ratings agency Fitch cut its 2012 growth outlook for Asia to 6.8 per cent from 7.4 per cent previously, citing the weak global economy.

For 2011, the region was seen growing at 7.1 per cent, it said in a statement.

The downgrade was also to reflect the impact of policy tightening measures in some of the region’s economies, notably China and India where taming high inflation had been a major government priority, Fitch said.

It expected China’s economy, the world’s second biggest, to grow 8.2 per cent next year instead of the 8.5 per cent forecast in June, while it tipped India to expand 7.5 per cent in the year to March 2013, instead of 8.2 per cent previously estimated.

“The reduction partly reflects weakening in the outlook for the advanced economies since June,” Fitch said.

“It is also partly driven by the impact of policy tightening in a number of Asian countries in response to stubbornly high inflation, including China and India.

“Both China and India face a combination of slowing activity and stubbornly high inflation, underlining the risks that can arise from allowing inflation to rise above desired ranges.”

Major exporter nations had been hurt this year as the ongoing debt crisis and economic stagnation in the crucial European and US markets had hammered demand and dragged on gross domestic product growth.

For Asia, average annual inflation in 2012 would be 4.9 per cent, Fitch said, up from the 4.7 per cent forecast made in June.

The region’s inflation outlook for this year was also hiked to 5.9 per cent from 5.6 per cent previously, it said. — AFP