Scientists warn El Nino coral damage could be worst ever

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This undated file photo shows a bleached section of Australia’s Great Barrier Reef. — AFP photo

This undated file photo shows a bleached section of Australia’s Great Barrier Reef. — AFP photo

SYDNEY: Scientists yesterday warned the world faced mass global coral bleaching next year driven by the warming effects of the El Nino weather phenomenon, and it could be the worst on record.

A study by the University of Queensland and the US National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration said it would be only the third recorded global bleaching event in history, with areas such as Australia’s Great Barrier Reef set to be hard hit.

“If conditions continue to worsen, the Great Barrier Reef is set to suffer from widespread coral bleaching and subsequent mortality, the most common effect of rising sea temperatures,” said the university’s Global Change Institute director Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.

“In the first major global event in 1998, more than half the Great Barrier Reef experienced bleaching with about five to 10 percent of the corals dying.

“Thankfully the Great Barrier Reef was spared during this second global event (in 2010) due to storm activity which alleviated the heat stress. The reef may not be so lucky in 2016.”

The Barrier Reef — the world’s biggest coral reef ecosystem — is already struggling from the threat of climate change, as well as farming run-off, development and the coral-eating crown-of-thorns starfish.

It narrowly avoided being put on the UN World Heritage in danger list this year with Canberra now working on a plan to improve the reef’s health over successive decades.

Bleaching is a phenomenon that turns corals white or fades their colours, threatening a valuable source of biodiversity, tourism and fishing.

It occurs when reef symbiosis — the mutually beneficial relationship between two organisms that inhabit corals — is disrupted by a rise in ocean warming, although there can also be other causes.

One of the worst episodes on record, which affected reefs in 60 tropical countries, took place in 1998, when the El Nino weather pattern was exceptionally strong.

The phenomenon occurs when trade winds that circulate over waters in the tropical Pacific start to weaken and sea surface temperatures rise.

US government scientists in August said the El Nino currently under way — the first in five years — could be among the strongest in 65 years, while authorities in Australia have predicted it would be ‘strong’ and ‘substantial’.

Corals depend on single-cell algae called dinoflagellates that live in vast colonies on their surface. — AFP